The monsoon season has returned with favorable conditions across Delhi and Northern India, promising a refreshing change in the capital’s climate. Over the coming days, sporadic and steady rainfall is predicted to bring down the temperatures, offering much-needed relief from the sweltering heat and oppressive humidity that gripped the region in recent weeks.
Monsoon Patterns Shift Gear in Delhi-NCR
According to updated forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and leading private weather services, Delhi and its adjoining cities such as Faridabad, Gurugram, Noida, and Ghaziabad are all set to receive consistent rain spells from Saturday, July 12, intensifying further by Sunday night, July 13. The monsoon trough is actively positioned near the capital, playing a crucial role in driving this renewed rainfall.
July 12–13: Light to Moderate Rain Expected
Rainfall on Saturday and Sunday will likely remain light to moderate and patchy, with a few isolated heavier spells in specific pockets. However, as the trough system moves north, conditions will shift, and more widespread showers are expected starting Sunday night, turning into persistent rainfall through Wednesday, July 17.
Rain to Intensify Across the National Capital Region
The forecast indicates a significant increase in rainfall intensity as cyclonic circulations converge. One such system currently hovering over Punjab and another near Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh, the remnants of an earlier low-pressure zone from West Bengal, are now moving westward. These meteorological systems are expected to interact with the active monsoon trough, enhancing rain production across Delhi and neighboring areas.
Expected Rainfall Timeline
July 12–13: Light to moderate rain with isolated heavy spells
July 14–17: Steady and widespread rain expected throughout the region
Post-July 17: Gradual decline in rainfall intensity
Temperature Drop to Accompany Wet Spell
With the monsoon system dominating the region, a notable drop in temperatures will accompany the rain. Daytime highs are expected to hover around 30°C, while night and early morning temperatures will dip further, offering pleasant and cooler conditions. The decreased heat index and cloud cover will significantly improve outdoor comfort.
Forecasted Temperature Range
Daytime Highs: 29–31°C
Nighttime Lows: 23–25°C
The city is likely to experience a break from extreme humidity as continuous rainfall and wind flow help balance atmospheric moisture. This will make the environment feel more breathable and less oppressive, particularly during early mornings and evenings.
Delhi’s Rainfall So Far: Still Below July Average
Despite moderate showers in the past few days, Delhi’s rainfall totals remain below average. According to Skymet Weather, the capital has recorded:
57 mm of rainfall at Safdarjung so far in July
78 mm at Palam Airport over the last 48 hours
July’s normal average stands at 195.8 mm
The forecasted rain over the coming week is expected to narrow this rainfall deficit considerably, bringing July’s totals closer to the monthly norm.
Surrounding Cities Set for Similar Weather
The Delhi-NCR satellite towns — Gurugram, Noida, Ghaziabad, and Faridabad — will mirror Delhi’s weather pattern due to the shared influence of the monsoon trough. These areas can expect intermittent rain through July 13, transitioning into prolonged spells from July 14 onward. Daily rainfall will help cool urban heat pockets and enhance air quality across these densely populated corridors.
Monsoon Trough to Oscillate Around Delhi
Meteorologists report that the monsoon trough will:
Remain near Delhi until July 13
Shift slightly southwards from July 13–17, enhancing rainfall
Return northwards post-July 17, reducing rain activity
This oscillation in the trough’s position is the driving force behind the expected intermittent and then consistent showers across the region.
How the Cyclonic Circulation Is Fueling Rain
A key driver of this week’s weather is the cyclonic circulation pattern over:
Punjab and adjacent Haryana, injecting moist northwesterly winds into Delhi
Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh, remnants of a low-pressure zone
These systems are interconnected via the monsoon trough, resulting in a multi-source influx of moisture, contributing to more robust rainfall.
Impact on Air Quality and Groundwater Recharge
The ongoing rain spells are projected to:
Improve air quality across Delhi-NCR by washing out suspended particulates
Boost groundwater levels through gradual percolation, especially in suburban belts
Help replenish city reservoirs and water tables, aiding agriculture and water supply management
Residents Advised to Plan Commutes Accordingly
With intermittent to heavy rainfall predicted throughout the week, Delhiites and NCR commuters are advised to:
Carry umbrellas or rain gear regularly
Watch out for waterlogging in low-lying areas
Monitor real-time weather alerts and traffic updates for smoother transit
Avoid unnecessary travel during peak downpour hours, especially from July 14 to 17
Extended Outlook: Weather to Normalize Post July 17
After an active wet week, rainfall is expected to decrease gradually after July 17. However, sporadic light rain may still occur due to residual moisture and lingering monsoonal winds. The transition will likely lead to partly cloudy skies with pleasant breezes through the end of July.
Summary at a Glance
| Date | Expected Rainfall | Intensity Level | Temperature Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 12 | Light, patchy showers | Low to moderate | Around 31°C |
| July 13 | Increasing coverage at night | Moderate | 29–30°C |
| July 14–17 | Continuous widespread rain | High | 28–30°C |
| After July 17 | Declining rainfall | Low to moderate | 30–32°C |
Final Word: Prepare for a Wet Yet Pleasant Week
This stretch of monsoon activity brings a welcome respite to residents of Delhi and North India. While rain may pose some logistical hurdles, it ushers in cooler days, cleaner air, and a refreshing change. We recommend everyone stay prepared, updated, and enjoy the charm of the monsoon as it unfolds with vigor across the capital and beyond.
