The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has sounded a nationwide red alert, forecasting heavy to extremely heavy rainfall across numerous regions in the next 100 hours. As the monsoon intensifies, several states spanning North, Central, West, and Northeast India are poised to face significant weather disruptions. We bring you the most accurate, comprehensive, and timely rain update with state-wise breakdowns, IMD bulletins, and future weather projections.
Unrelenting Monsoon: IMD’s Latest Warning
The IMD has predicted unusually high rainfall intensity over the next 4 to 5 days, warning of severe impacts in both urban and rural areas. According to the department’s latest bulletin, the current atmospheric conditions favor continued heavy downpours across the Western Himalayan region, Indo-Gangetic plains, and coastal belts.
States on High Alert: July 11 to July 17 Rainfall Forecast
1. Uttar Pradesh: From East to West Under the Monsoon Grip
Western UP: Very heavy rain predicted between July 12 and 15.
Eastern UP: Heavy showers expected on July 12 and 15, with extremely heavy rain possible on July 11.
Flood-like conditions may arise due to the cumulative rainfall impact across the region.
2. Madhya Pradesh: A Hotspot for Severe Rainfall Activity
East and West MP: Brace for extremely heavy rainfall from July 11 to 14.
Scattered thunderstorms and lightning may persist until July 17.
The Ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra bordering MP are also expected to experience incessant showers.
3. Rajasthan: Dual-Sided Rain Assault in East and West
Eastern Rajasthan: Heavy rainfall likely until July 17, peaking on July 13 and 14.
Western Rajasthan: Very heavy rains expected from July 12 to 16 with possible flash floods in low-lying areas.
4. Himachal Pradesh & Uttarakhand: Mountainous Regions on Edge
Himachal Pradesh: Widespread heavy rain continues, particularly on July 12 and 13.
Uttarakhand: High-altitude areas may witness landslides due to persistent rainfall from July 12 to 17.
Tourists and locals are advised to stay vigilant amid rising river levels.
Other Critical Areas on IMD’s Radar
Chhattisgarh
Rainfall surge forecast between July 12 and 14.
Thunderstorms may accompany showers in Raipur, Bilaspur, and Bastar divisions.
Jharkhand
Isolated heavy rainfall from July 11 to 15.
IMD urges agriculture and mining sectors to remain alert to avoid losses.
Delhi-NCR, Haryana, and Chandigarh
Heavy rainfall slated for July 12.
Sudden downpours may disrupt traffic and metro operations in Delhi, Gurugram, Faridabad, and Chandigarh.
Punjab and Jammu & Kashmir
Jammu & Kashmir: Very heavy rainfall expected between July 14 to 17.
Punjab: Isolated heavy rain already recorded, and more forecast in Amritsar, Ludhiana, Patiala.
Bihar and Odisha
Bihar: Showers forecast for July 11, 15, and 16.
Odisha: Consistent rainfall till July 16 with high winds and thunder in coastal and interior districts.
Northeast India: Continuous Showers Across Seven Sisters
Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh: Light to moderate rain with occasional heavy spells for the next 7 days.
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim: Significant downpours expected from July 13 to 16.
Gangetic West Bengal: Heaviest showers on July 14 with possible waterlogging in Kolkata.
Southern and Western Coasts: High Rainfall in Coastal Zones
Konkan and Goa
IMD forecasts heavy rain during July 13 to 15.
Fishermen warned against venturing into the Arabian Sea due to rough conditions.
Kerala and Coastal Karnataka
Frequent thunderstorms and isolated heavy rainfall in Ernakulam, Kozhikode, Kasaragod, and parts of Mangaluru and Udupi.
Flash flood warnings remain active in low-lying districts.
Madhya Maharashtra and Saurashtra
Ghat regions to see torrential rain on July 12, 13, and 14.
Saurashtra: Isolated heavy showers on July 13, especially near Rajkot and Junagadh.
Gujarat
IMD forecasts widespread rain across North and South Gujarat from July 12 to 17.
Authorities urged to monitor dam levels and riverbanks across the state.
Thunderstorms and Lightning Activity: Risk Map for the Week
Thunderstorm activity will remain high across Northwest India, including Delhi, Haryana, and Uttarakhand.
Lightning strikes have been frequent in parts of Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, and Jharkhand.
Citizens advised to avoid open areas and tall trees during storm activity.
Urban Flood Watch: High-Risk Cities Identified
Delhi-NCR: Risk of waterlogging and commuter delays due to poor drainage.
Bhopal and Indore: Possibility of urban flooding due to back-to-back showers.
Lucknow, Kanpur, and Varanasi: Low-lying areas may face temporary inundation.
Mumbai and Pune: Rainfall coupled with tides could lead to brief flooding in coastal suburbs.
Agriculture Impact: Crops & Sowing at Risk
Paddy, maize, and soybean crops in MP, Chhattisgarh, and Bihar may experience excess water stress.
Sugarcane and cotton farmers in Maharashtra and Gujarat must reinforce field bunds to protect soil structure.
Fertilizer runoff and fungal outbreaks are likely in areas facing continuous downpours.
Precautionary Measures & Travel Advisory
Avoid non-essential travel to hills and coastal belts until July 17.
Follow IMD’s alerts via official channels, including the Mausam and Damini apps.
Evacuation readiness advised in flood-prone districts of MP, Bihar, Rajasthan, and Assam.
7-Day Rainfall Outlook Summary
| Region | Intensity Forecast | Key Dates |
|---|---|---|
| North India | Very heavy | July 12–17 |
| Central India | Extremely heavy | July 11–14 |
| Northeast India | Light to moderate with heavy | July 11–17 |
| West India (Rajasthan, Gujarat) | Heavy to very heavy | July 12–17 |
| South India (Kerala, Konkan) | Isolated heavy | July 12–15 |
Conclusion: Next 100 Hours Critical for India’s Weather Outlook
The IMD’s red alert underscores the urgency and seriousness of the developing monsoon scenario. With multiple regions under heavy rainfall threat, citizens, authorities, and travelers must exercise caution and preparedness. As monsoon dynamics evolve rapidly, vigilance and timely action will be crucial to mitigate damage and ensure public safety.
