Lok Sabha Elections 2024 are over and now political analysts and enthusiasts are keeping an eye on the political scenario. Renowned political commentator Neeraj Gupta has released his predictions for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. These predictions give a detailed account of how various political parties may perform in different states of India. Let’s take a look at the detailed projections.
Uttar Pradesh (UP)
Uttar Pradesh, with its 80 seats, remains the most crucial battleground in Indian politics. According to Gupta’s predictions, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is poised to secure a significant majority with 68-71 seats. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) partners might add 4-5 seats, bringing the total to 72-76 seats. The Indian National Congress is expected to struggle, potentially winning only 0-1 seat, while the INDI Alliance could secure 5-7 seats. The Samajwadi Party (SP) is also predicted to garner 5-8 seats.
Madhya Pradesh (MP)
Madhya Pradesh, which holds 29 seats, is anticipated to see a near sweep by the BJP with 28-29 seats. Gupta predicts that the Congress might manage 0-1 seat. This suggests a stronghold of the BJP in the state.
Gujarat
In Gujarat, where 26 seats are contested, the BJP is expected to dominate entirely, winning all 26 seats. The Congress and other parties might not secure any seats here, highlighting BJP’s unchallenged presence in the state.
Rajasthan
Rajasthan’s 25 seats could see the BJP winning between 22-25 seats. The Congress might get 0-2 seats, indicating a substantial lead for the BJP in this state.
Maharashtra
Maharashtra, with 48 seats, presents a more competitive scenario. The BJP is expected to win 22-25 seats, while the NDA partners might contribute 14-16 seats, totaling 36-41 seats. The Congress could secure 1-2 seats, while the INDI alliance, including NCP, might gain 6-8 seats, with others potentially winning 7-10 seats.
Karnataka
In Karnataka’s 28 seats, the BJP could win 20-22 seats, with NDA allies adding 1-2 seats, totaling 21-24 seats. The Congress might gain 3-5 seats, indicating a strong but competitive showing for the BJP in the state.
Bihar
Bihar, with its 40 seats, is projected to see the BJP winning 15-17 seats and NDA partners securing 16-18 seats, summing up to 31-35 seats. The Congress might secure 0-1 seat, while the INDI alliance, particularly the RJD, could win 5-7 seats, highlighting a tough battle in the state.
West Bengal
West Bengal, with 42 seats, is anticipated to see the BJP winning 22-25 seats. The Congress might get 0-1 seat, while the TMC could secure 16-20 seats, indicating a divided voter base.
Odisha
In Odisha’s 21 seats, the BJP is expected to win 11-14 seats, with no seats projected for the Congress. The BJD might secure 7-9 seats, reflecting regional dynamics.
Assam
Assam’s 14 seats might see the BJP winning 9-10 seats and NDA partners securing 2-3 seats, totaling 11-13 seats. The Congress could gain 1-2 seats, while the AJP might win 1-3 seats.
Chhattisgarh
Chhattisgarh, with 11 seats, is projected to see the BJP winning 9-11 seats. The Congress might secure 1-2 seats, indicating a strong position for the BJP in the state.
Jharkhand
Jharkhand’s 14 seats could see the BJP winning 10-11 seats and NDA partners adding 0-1 seat, totaling 11-12 seats. The Congress might gain 0-1 seat, while the JMM could secure 2-4 seats.
Haryana
Haryana’s 10 seats are expected to see the BJP winning 8-9 seats. The Congress might secure 1-2 seats, indicating a strong but contested presence for the BJP.
Telangana
In Telangana, with 17 seats, the BJP might win 8-10 seats. The Congress could secure 8-10 seats, highlighting a significant contest between the two major parties.
Tamil Nadu
Tamil Nadu’s 39 seats are predicted to see the BJP winning 2-4 seats and NDA partners securing 2-4 seats, totaling 4-8 seats. The Congress might gain 2-4 seats, while the DMK could secure 30-35 seats, indicating a dominant performance by the DMK.
Delhi
Delhi’s 7 seats are expected to see a clean sweep by the BJP, winning all 7 seats. The Congress and other parties might not secure any seats here.
Uttarakhand
Uttarakhand’s 5 seats could see the BJP winning all 5 seats, with no seats projected for the Congress.
Punjab
Punjab, with 13 seats, is anticipated to see the BJP winning 1-3 seats. The Congress might secure 3-5 seats, while the AAP could win 6-8 seats, highlighting a diverse political competition.
Himachal Pradesh
Himachal Pradesh’s 4 seats are expected to see the BJP winning all 4 seats. The Congress might gain 0-1 seat.
Jammu & Kashmir
In Jammu & Kashmir, with 5 seats, the BJP might win 2-3 seats. The Congress could secure 0-1 seat, while the NC might win 2-4 seats, reflecting a competitive scenario.
Kerala
Kerala’s 20 seats are anticipated to see the BJP winning 1-3 seats. The Congress might secure 7-9 seats, indicating a strong contest.
Andhra Pradesh
Andhra Pradesh, with 25 seats, is projected to see the BJP winning 2-3 seats and NDA partners securing 14-16 seats, totaling 16-19 seats. The Congress might gain 0-1 seat, while the YSR could win 5-7 seats.
Goa
Goa’s 2 seats might see the BJP winning both 2 seats. The Congress could secure 0-1 seat.
North Eastern States and Union Territories
Arunachal Pradesh, with 2 seats, is expected to see the BJP winning both 2 seats.
Lakshadweep, with 1 seat, might see no BJP seats but 0-1 seat for Congress.
Ladakh’s 1 seat could be won by the BJP.
Puducherry’s 1 seat is expected to go to the BJP.
Chandigarh, with 1 seat, might see the BJP winning.
Daman & Diu’s 1 seat could go to the BJP.
Dadra and Nagar Haveli’s 1 seat is expected to be won by the BJP.
Tripura, with 2 seats, might see the BJP winning both.
Andaman and Nicobar Islands’ 1 seat could go to the BJP.
Manipur’s 2 seats might see the BJP winning 1-2 seats, with 0-1 seat for Congress.
Meghalaya’s 2 seats could see the BJP winning 1 seat, and Congress 0-1 seat.
Mizoram’s 1 seat might see the BJP winning 0-1 seat.
Nagaland’s 1 seat could go to the BJP.
Sikkim’s 1 seat is expected to be won by the BJP.
Neeraj Gupta’s predictions for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections highlight a significant edge for the BJP across many states, with notable performances from regional parties in specific areas. These insights provide a glimpse into the potential electoral outcomes, reflecting the dynamic nature of Indian politics.
