INVC NEWS
New Delhi : You may have to face extreme heat in the coming days. According to the Meteorological Department, during the summer season (April to June) of 2024, maximum temperatures are likely to be above normal in most parts of the country. The minimum temperature will also be higher than normal.
In the month of April, there is a possibility of heat wave in most parts of the South Peninsula, Central India, East India and the plains of North-West India.
According to a recent research published in Science Advances Journal, due to climate change, an increase in the number of heat wave days has been recorded across the world. In such a situation, people may have to face severe heat for a long time in the coming days.
Heatwave has increased since 2016
According to the report, from 1979 to 1983, heat waves across the world lasted an average of eight days, but from 2016 to 2020 it has increased to 12 days.
The Indian Meteorological Department has predicted on Monday that 85% of the country will see several rounds of heatwave (extreme heat) from April to June. Due to this, the temperature may remain 5 degrees or more above normal. In 2023 this figure was up to 60%. The temperature may increase by 2 to 5 degrees from next week itself.
The maximum impact will be seen in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Odisha and Andhra Pradesh. During this period, a heat wave can last for 20 consecutive days. Generally, heat wave lasts for 4 to 8 days in these months, but this time 23 states will see a heat wave lasting 10 to 20 days. Earlier, the longest period of heat wave was from 31 May to 20 June 2023, when the heat wave lasted for 21 consecutive days in Eastern Uttar Pradesh, Odisha and Jharkhand.
More than 200 cities made action plans
This time the forecast has been prepared on the analysis of several models. It is also possible that just one wave of heat wave may break the previous record. 23 states and more than 200 cities have already prepared action plans as per the heatwave guidelines of the National Disaster Management Authority.
According to the Meteorological Department, during the summer season (April to June) of 2024, maximum temperatures are likely to be above normal in most parts of the country. The minimum temperature will also be higher than normal.
In the month of April, there is a possibility of heat wave in most parts of the South Peninsula, Central India, East India and the plains of North-West India.
According to a recent research published in Science Advances Journal, due to climate change, an increase in the number of heat wave days has been recorded across the world. In such a situation, people may have to face severe heat for a long time in the coming days.
According to the report, from 1979 to 1983, heat waves across the world lasted an average of eight days, but from 2016 to 2020 it has increased to 12 days.
Heat wave will also have adverse effects in central and western peninsular India
IMD Director General Mrityunjay Mohapatra said that the maximum temperature is expected to be above normal in most parts of the country and its worst impact is expected in central and western peninsular India. He said the maximum temperatures are likely to be normal or below normal in the western Himalayan region, northeastern states and parts of northern Odisha.
According to Mohapatra, there is a possibility of warmer than normal winds in most parts of the plains during this period. The heat wave is expected to last for 10 to 20 days compared to the usual 4 to 8 days in different parts of the country.
IMD Director General said that the worst effect of heat may be in Gujarat, Central Maharashtra, North Karnataka, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, North Chhattisgarh and Andhra Pradesh.
In April, maximum temperatures are likely to be above normal in most parts of the country, while it is more likely in Central South India. Maximum temperatures in April are expected to be normal or below normal over the western Himalayan region and parts of the northeastern states.
Will there be less rain this time?
According to the Meteorological Department, average rainfall across the country is likely to be normal (88-112 percent of LPA) in April 2024. Above normal rainfall is likely over most parts of northwest India and many parts of central India, northern Peninsular India, parts of east and northeast India. While below normal rainfall is expected over the east and west coasts, parts of eastern and northeastern India and west central India.
El Nino is weakening
According to the Meteorological Department, the condition of El Nino has weakened since the beginning of the year. Currently, moderate El Nino conditions prevail in the equatorial Pacific region. Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are warmer than normal across much of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
There will be severe heat in more than 40 districts including Bhopal
This time also in Madhya Pradesh, there are chances of severe heat in April and May. Apart from Gwalior, Chambal, Vindhya, Bundelkhand, Nimar, areas of Bhopal division and Malwa can also get very hot. In more than 40 districts of these areas, the heat may break all previous records. Apart from April, the mercury can also reach 47 to 48 degrees once or twice in May at many places.
